Sunday, February 26, 2017

2017 Oscars Predictions! (AND WINNERS!)

It's days until the Oscars and it's time for the usual prediction time. Last year, I missed the telecast because I had part-time work, and this year I'm going to skip again because of work. Adulthood right? Also might not make it on time for the re-run because of traffic jam. Damn. Anyway, really excited for this year's Oscars. As of Feb 26, I have seen 7 of the 9 Best Picture nominee. Fences and Hidden figures are nowhere to be found in Indonesia. Let the prediction begin! (This post will be updated with winners later)


Best Picture
It's tricky to predict this one now. La La Land does have the upper hand, but to me, the magic fades with time. It's still a gorgeous film, but might lose its importance. Very close behind LLL for the upset is Moonlight. Far behind them both is Lion, which gained serious awards buzz recently. I feel that last year's films are stronger and it's harder to predict last year's films.
Official prediction: La La Land
Personal prediction: Moonlight
RESULT: Moonlight (0.5/1)

Okay, wifi is down so the rest of this post would be uneventful since I'm only writing with my phone. Prepare for a lot of typos and just blandness in general.

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Casey Affleck should win with possibility of Denzel Washington robbing him. But one of my favorites of the year is Captain Fantastic, so.....
Official prediction: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Personal prediction: Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
RESULT: Casey Affleck (1.5/2)

Best Actress in a Leading Role
I'd say the race was between Amy Adams, Emma Stone and Natalie Portman. Suddenly Isabelle Huppert emerged and stole everything from them. Except for Amy Adams who was even denied the chance in favor of Meryl Streep. I mean guys, have you seen Jackie? That film wouldn't work without Natalie Portman.
Official prediction: Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Personal prediction: Natalie Portman, Jackie
RESULT: Emma Stone (1.5/3)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
After seeing Lion earlier, I believe Sunny Pawar should get this aqard. Without any competition at all.
Official prediction: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Personal prediction: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
RESULT: Mahershala Ali (2.5/4)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
This one is a race between Naomie Harris and Viola Davis, in which I think the person whose name starts with the first alphabet in the word victory is going to win.
Official prediction: Viola Davis, Fences
Personal prediction: Viola Davis, Fences
RESULT: Viola Davis (3.5/5)

Best Achievement in Directing
As much as La La Land is superficial, I believe Damien Chazelle deserves the prize.
Official prediction: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Personal prediction: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
RESULT: Damien Chazelle (4.5/6)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Recent wins should boost Lion's prospect but I think Moonlight is just too damn strong
Official prediction: Moonlight
Personal prediction: Moonlight
RESULT: Moonlight (5.5/7)

Best Original Screenplay
Hey, La La Land is hardly original. But The Lobster is definitely is.
Official prediction: Manchester By The Sea
Personal prediction: The Lobster
RESULT: Manchester By The Sea (6.5/8)

Best Cinematography
Official prediction: Linus Sandgren, La La Land
Personal prediction: Bradford Young, Arrival
RESULT: La La Land (7.5/9)

Best Editing
Official prediction: La La Land
Personal prediction: Moonlight
RESULT: Hacksaw Ridge (7.5/10)

Best Production Design
The only recognition I thought Passengers really deserve is this one.
Official prediction: La La Land
Personal prediction: Passengers
RESULT: La La Land (8.5/11)

Best Costume Design
I'm torn between Allied and Jackie. The costumes there are crazy beautiful.
Official prediction: La La Land
Personal prediction: Jackie
RESULT: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (8.5/12)

Best Make-up and Hairstyling
Official prediction: Star Trek Beyond
Personal prediction: Star Trek Beyond
RESULT: Suicide Squad (8.5/13)

Best Animated Feature
Official prediction: Zootopia
Personal prediction: Moana
RESULT: Zootopia (9.5/14)

Best Song
I'd pick La La Land in a heartbeat if Another Day of Sun pr Someone in the Crowd were nominated, but the two LLL songs nominated here are basic songs compared to Lin-Manuel Miranda's work in Moana.
Official prediction: 'City of Stars', La La Land
Personal prediction: 'How Far I'll Go', Moana
RESULT: 'City of Stars' (10.5/15)

Best Original Score
Official prediction: La La Land
Personal prediction: Lion
RESULT: La La Land (11.5/16)

Best Visual Effects
Official prediction: The Jungle Book
Personal prediction: The Jungle Book
RESULT: The Jungle Book (12.5/17)


This year I decided to be true to myself and let the personal predictions go gonzo.
But the official preds are based on my opinion + previous awards results. Let's see tomorrow for results (and my editing to make this look better and less default)

It's a pretty wild show, with that flub at the end. I thought it's a fitting end for La La Land, considering how cruel the film actually is with its twist ending. But, still they went home with 6 Oscars, so nothing to be sad about, and the producers showed a real sportsmanship that will be remembered more than Moonlight or La La Land. I haven't seen the full show, I only saw the last 1/4 of the show (thanks to work). The best leading actress win is the biggest shocker (we all knew it's between LLL and Moonlight so it just added a little spice to the competition). We all thought Isabelle Huppert is going to win but no, Emma Stone won. Also Suicide Squad won? It's Suicide Squad 1, Martin Scorsese's Silence 0. Some decisions are political, such as Asghar Farhadi's The Salesman. That film wasn't even good enough for Golden Globes, but the director refused to show up so he wins (or I'm just cynical and need to see The Salesman right away).

Will make this post more beautiful tomorrow, anyway. Good night.


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