I'm Probably White (Oscars Predictions! and Winners!)

That's a clickbait title. I'm not. It's just my annual Academy Awards prediction for this year. It's a joke okay? OscarsSoWhite, so if I'm watching it and actually excited about it, I'm probably white? Get it? Anyway, I have accomplished to watch six out of eight films this year, leaving probably the frontrunners The Revenant and The Big Short. I like this year's nominations, with The Martian and Mad Max: Fury Road, the barrier between mainstream and art films are blurred. It's great. Let's just get on with the predictions shall we? I'm trying something new here. Official predictions are made based on how the film fared at other awards and also the film itself. Personal predictions are made solely by how I think about the film. This post will be updated by winners later. [updated with winners Feb 29, with scores! (my personal predictions are worth 0.5 *wink)]

Best Picture
Favors go for another Inarritu this year with The Revenant, but apart from the awards season and Leonardo DiCaprio, the film didn't create much buzz. This year's race is pretty much open. The possible top three for winners are The Revenant, The Big Short and Spotlight. It won't be surprising if suddenly Mad Max or Room came out on top though. Especially Room, it hasn't created much buzz mostly because it remains underseen. Without Carol in the mix, Room is the best out of the bunch by a long shot (that's a bold statement but I stand by it).
Official prediction: Spotlight
Personal prediction: Room
Winner: Spotlight (1/1)

Best Actor in a Leading Role
All signs lead to Leo. Obviously. But instead let's mentioned the snubbed actors who deserved this nom more than I don't know, say, Bryan Cranston as (who?) Trumbo: Johnny Depp for Black Mass, Michael B. Jordan for Creed and Jacob Tremblay for Room. I haven't seen Concussion so don't get mad at me Jada Pinkett-Smith.
Official prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Personal prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant (2/2)

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Brie Larson! YES. It's great to see Jennifer Lawrence nominated once again, but yes for Brie Larson. She's in it to win it. At this point, you'll realize how I'm obsessed with Room.
Official prediction: Brie Larson, Room
Personal prediction: Brie Larson, Room
Winner: Brie Larson, Room (3/3)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
I'd love to see Idris Elba in this category for his role in Beasts of No Nation. I really do. But let's talk facts. Based on nods and performance, I would give the statue to Mark Rylance in Bridge of Spies. He's been consistent in every awards show. Then again Mark Ruffalo's performance in Spotlight was also spotlight-stealing. Supporting actors and actresses are always the hardest to pick. Then again, the Academy might go for Sylvester Stallone.
Official prediction: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Personal prediction: Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Winner: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies (3/4)
Note: I was heavily hoping that The Academy relied on nostalgia rather than sheer brilliance, they did that a lot. But I was wrong.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
I would give the Oscar straightaway to Alicia Vikander if it's for Ex Machina. But then again, I would gladly give any award to Alicia. The Danish Girl is an empty film, especially after you watch it last in a marathon of great films starting from Room, Brooklyn, and Carol. The film works for the performances of the actors. Nevertheless, I could see Rooney Mara stealing the trophy from her.
Official prediction: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Personal prediction: Rooney Mara, Carol
Winner: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl (4/5)


Best Director
This category has too much snub. I'd pick Todd Haynes, Steven Spielberg, Ridley Scott, Cary Fukunaga and more to be nominated here. Despite Inarritu's DGA win, I only see two men who deserves this the most: George Miller for Mad Max: Fury Road or Lenny Abrahamson for Room. I haven't seen The Revenant so I couldn't actually say anything.
Official prediction: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant
Personal prediction: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Winner: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant (5/6)

Best Original Screenplay
Despite it being 'original', most of the screenplays here are based on real stories, so they have their work half done at least. I'd say the most deserving here is either Inside Out or Ex Machina because they are truly original. Nevertheless, this one's Spotlight to win.
Official prediction: Spotlight
Personal prediction: Ex Machina
Winner: Spotlight (6/7)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Out of the nominees, I only haven't seen The Big Short, which is probably the one most likely to win. If it's a fair game, I have my money on The Martian. Oh scratch that, Room should win.
Official prediction: The Big Short
Personal prediction: The Martian (or Room)
Winner: The Big Short (7/8)

Best Animated Feature
Bing Bong.
Official prediction: Inside Out
Personal prediction: Inside Out
Winner: Inside Out (8/9)

Best Cinematography
The heavyweights are here. I don't know who to pick. I really don't. All are great-looking films. I don't know if Chivo should win. He got two already. How about give it to a man who came out of retirement to do a magnificent work?
Official prediction: John Seale, Mad Max: Fury Road
Personal prediction: Edward Lachman, Carol
Winner: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant (8/10)
Note: I know he's going to win, but I was hoping for a shocking Mad Max upset.

Best Production Design
The Martian boasts a great production itself so that should win, right?
Official prediction: The Martian
Personal prediction: Mad Max: Fury Road
Winner: Mad Max: Fury Road (8.5/11)

Best Costume Design
Sandy Powell is a double nominee this year. It's her vs her and Carol is the most beautiful film I've seen of 2015.
Official prediction: Carol
Personal prediction: Carol
Winner: Mad Max: Fury Road (8.5/12)

Best Make-Up
Why isn't Black Mass here? Why?
Official prediction: Mad Max: Fury Road
Personal prediction: Mad Max: Fury Road
Winner: Mad Max: Fury Road (9.5/13)

Best Editing
Those frenetic sequences in Mad Max must be fucking hard to edit.
Official prediction: Mad Max: Fury Road
Personal prediction: Mad Max: Fury Road
Winner: Mad Max: Fury Road (10.5/14)

Best Original Score
Quentin's smug acceptance speech in the Globes must have boosted Ennio Morricone's chance of winning a bit in an already (what I've heard) a standout score. I wouldn't be surprised to see Carter Burwell snag that gold though
Official prediction: Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
Personal prediction: Carter Burwell, Carol
Winner: Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight (11.5/15)

Best Song
This year's nominees are pretty shit. I'd be happy to see anyone win but Fifty Shades of Grey
Official prediction: Writing's On The Wall, Spectre
Winner: Writing's On The Wall, Spectre (12.5/16)

Best Visual Effects
If The Revenant wins we'll riot. It's just a BEAR. But given The Academy, I won't be surprised to see The Revenant wins. But I'm not picking that film.
Official prediction: The Martian
Personal prediction: Ex Machina
Winner: Ex Machina (13/17)

Pretty good on me to have that quite accurate predictions. The only I didn't see coming is the Best Costume Design. My money's all the way for Carol. Anyway, for the first time in five years, I didn't watch the Oscars live, instead I was going to my part-time job. Is that a sign of maturity? I will watch it soon but for now I have to leave it here. Will update this as soon as I finish watching.

It was an entertaining telecast. But honestly I have enough of the OscarsSoWhite protest. Chris Rock's monologue, while on point on that matter, lacked nods or jokes about the nominees themselves. Then came that random girl. Or the shockingly bad intro for Room by Sacha Baron Cohen. The Black History Minute was funny though. The black people inclusion mashup of this year's films was also funny. The cookie thing? Not so much.

Recap
Mad Max: Fury Road 6 wins
The Revenant 3 wins
Spotlight 2 wins
Room, The Big Short, Ex Machina, Bridge of Spies, The Danish Girl, Spectre, Inside Out, The Hateful Eight 1 win
Carol 0 *gasps in surprise